Dems Bombing In Advance of Primary
By Greg L | 22 May 2009 | Virginia Politics | 13 Comments
This is just plain hilarious. After months of attacks against Bob McDonnell financed by out-of-state organizations that seem to have a lot of trouble getting their campaign finance reports right, Bob McDonnell is just crushing his potential opponents in the polls. I guess Democrats still haven’t figured out how plain unpopular Terry McAuliffe and the other Democrats are in the Commonwealth.
Liberal Blog-Commissioned Survey Pegs McDonnell at 53-percent Favorability Rating -
RICHMOND – A new scientific poll commissioned by the liberal website The Daily Kos and Research 2000 showed Republican candidate for governor of Virginia Bob McDonnell with an impressive 53-percent favorable rating, prompting the respected publication National Journal to call the number “Obamaesque.” The poll, conducted from May 18-20, 2009, also gave McDonnell a head-to-head lead over each of the three Democratic candidates for governor.
Link: Poll: McDonnell Has Obamaesque Favorable Ratings
Link: Daily Kos/Research 2000 PollA total of 53-percent of respondents said they viewed McDonnell either very favorably or favorably. Just 37-percent said the same of Terry McAuliffe, while both Brian Moran and Creigh Deeds met with the approval of 35-percent. The poll also found the three Democrats upside down in the favorability battle: McAuliffe was a net -3 (37 favorable, 40 unfavorable) with Deeds and Moran both net -1 (35/36). McDonnell was a staggering +20, with 53 favorable and only 33 unfavorable.
McDonnell also fared well in head-to-head matchups in the poll. McDonnell bested McAuliffe by 44-34, Moran by 42-35 and Deeds by 45-32.
“If this is what millions of dollars in negative television ads did to Bob McDonnell, then I encourage the Democrats and their labor union pals to spend even more,” said Republican Party of Virginia Chairman Pat Mullins. “Not even the most liberal website on the Internet is able to avoid the truth: Bob McDonnell’s positive campaign is good for Virginia and has momentum.”
The key battleground in the general election looks like it will be Fairfax, Loudoun and Prince William Counties since that’s the only place the Democrats seem to be able to obtain any traction at all. If Bob McDonnell makes Democrats fight hard to win these three counties and the typical 20% of the electorate of Virginia they represent, McDonnell will likely crush elsewhere in the state and walk away with a big victory.
We have to make Democrats work awfully hard in Northern Virginia, and that means we have to work awfully hard..
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13 Comments
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…but wait until they have a nominee, Greg….:(
I’ll second that, freedom. I’m a McDonnell supporter, but we really aren’t in any kind of reality zone until we get to the one-on-one part of the general election campaign.
It is nice to see that he has those numbers, though. I’m amazed that a liberal web site actually posted them.
(a) Let’s wait until the have a nominee; (2) let’s not be seduced by their numbers and lulled into a false sense of security - and this is coming from a guy in Alexandria where we just took two City Council seats away from the Dems. after nearly a decade-long hiatus.
I’m with you, Sanford….how sweet it would be to send McAuliff back home, empty handed, with his tail between his flippin’ legs…:)
You folks know that Terry McAuliffe lives in McLean and has been a VA resident for 18 years, right?
Underestimate Terry McAuliffe at your own peril. Whether you like him or not, he has run an extremely well organized and effective campaign to date. He’s raised a ton of money, he’s on the campaign trail 24X7, his business plan for Virginia is very detailed and he’s taken stands on a lot of tough issues. McDonnell has played it smart too. He’s been more willing to put his ideas forward prior to the Democratic primary than I would have thought. Good for him. He has taken firm stands on controversial issues like off-shore drilling. Good for him.
I guess that Creigh Deeds and Brian Moran are still within reach on the June 9 primary. However, McAuliffe seems to have a lot of momentum.
If the Republicans were really well organized they’d get out an vote in the June 9 Democratic primary and they’d vote for Brian Moran. Mr. Moran is probably a fine guy but he’s just too liberal to win a state-wide election (especially against Bob McDonnell). Creigh Deeds would be an effective candidate against McDonnell although I think McDonnell is a better campaigner. Remember that McDonnell only beat Deeds by the very slimmest of margins for AG. And McAuliffe remains a wild card. The chattering class was convinced he’s be a flash in the pan when he announced he’d run back in January. Now it’s late May and he seems a lot more like a legitimate candidate.
Oh, please don’t misinterpret….I’m not underestimating the Dem support for McAuliffe at all. …but do you really think that as a whole, Virginia is THAT liberal?? OMG, I hope not.
I don’t think McAuliffe is THAT liberal. That’s been his key to success so far. Everybody expected a quasi-socialist parroting the Obama “wealth transfer” philosophy. Instead, they got a candidate who focused on “I’ll bring jobs to Virginia”. IMHO McAuliffe is the least liberal of the three Democratic candidates. Well, I should really say he’s the least liberal talking of the three. Given that he’s never held elected office he doesn’t have a voting record. So, you have to take what you hear.
A little reminder: when Mary Sue Terry and George Allen squared off in 1993, Terry was up by 48 points the beginning of May 1993, in November Allen crushed Terry, by more than 14 points as I recall. Polls in May are meaningless.
Harry:
I agree. After living all my life in Virginia (50+ years) I think this election is McDonnell’s to lose. However, the senatorial election between Webb and Allen was Allen’s to lose. And he lost. I expect McAuliffe will win the primary (but that’s just a guess). My only advice to the RPV is not to underestimate Mr. McAuliffe (or Sen. Deeds for that matter).
Senator Deeds ran within 400 votes statewide of McDonnell in 2005. The demographics have not gotten worse for the Dems since then. McAuliffe is the easier opponent for McDonnell. McAuliffe is so closely tied to the Clintons and has been such a shill for them that it will be a negative. There are plenty of Virginians of both parties who have no use for the Clintons and their enablers. If the Dems pick Deeds, however, it will be a very tough race for Republicans. Additionally, if the Republicans pick Cuccinelli, he could drag down the whole slate. McDonnell and Bolling know this, so you can assume that, despite their unopposed status, they are extremely worried about this convention.
Creigh Deeds is an illegal alien enabler. Just ask him.