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Deeds Cedes Prince William To Bob McDonnell?

By Greg L | 7 September 2009 | Virginia Politics, Prince William County | 24 Comments

Virginia Virtucon notes that the Washington Post’s Monday edition seems to lend to the theory that Creigh Deeds has conceeded Prince William County to Bob McDonnell and is trying to focus on rural Virginia and the Washington, D.C. suburbs.  Citing the struggle “against anonymity in Northern Virginia”, Deeds seem to be playing defense in areas he certainly thought he would perform strongly in and working overtime to secure Democrat strongholds in Fairfax and Arlington.  Putting up “for lease” signs in campaign field offices in Prince William County doesn’t bode well for this campaign, but essentially admitting to the Washington Post that Prince William County is unwinnable for him takes the Commonwealth’s third-largest jurisdiction off the table this November and really puts the viability of his campaign into question.

The amount of time Deeds spends in rural Virginia has also worried some Northern Virginia supporters, who say it would be a mistake to assume that their vote-rich region will fall in line behind him simply because he is a Democrat.

Then comes the quote, from Deeds himself, that lends credence to the speculation that Deeds is shutting down operations in Virginia’s second largest county:

Deeds notes that he spends about half his time “north of the Occoquan River”

Given that Prince William County is south of the Occoquan, that is a pretty telling sign right there that Deeds is now husbanding resources and starting to write-off whole counties.
I’ve heard some grumbling lately that Deeds’ attack on Bob McDonnell’s twenty year-old thesis paper is starting to make evangelical Christians, which go to the polls in off-year elections in numbers far greater than their proportion of the populace, feel like they are being personally attacked by his campaign’s statements.  It’s one thing to criticize policy issues, but when the diatribes start to make families with stay-at-home mothers feel under assault, that starts to energize a political base that isn’t going to be very friendly to Democrats, especially given the current national political mood.  Prince William County has a pretty strong segment of the population who attend Church every Sunday and consider themselves evangelical, and who are feeling increasingly threatened by Deeds’ and his supporter’s rhetoric.  It’s not a group Deeds really should want to get into a fight with.

This effect is only magnified down-state where the proportion of evangelical Christians gets even bigger.  With Deed’s rural roots he might be able to salvage some of the votes, but knowing how to perform veterinery procedures on livestock isn’t going to save Deeds a whole lot of votes in Prince William County.  It makes some sense to ensure that his rural support is shored up, but trading that for vote-rich Prince William County is a considerably bad deal for Deeds.  Deeds might do well in the D. C. metro suburbs and some areas in Tidewater, but going down in a big defeat in Prince William (and perhaps Loudoun County as well) is going to task him with making up a lot of ground.  That’s not going to happen without a huge swell of rural Virginia flocking to him, and the polling so far shows that’s not happening, at all.

When I saw “for lease” signs in Prince William County campiagn field offices, I thought that might be a fluke.  Maybe it’s not.  Maybe Creigh Deeds is in a lot deeper trouble than many of us realized.

UPDATE: Snapped Shot notes that the colors in Deeds campaign bear a remarkable resemblance to the national colors of a number of countries south of our border.  Is Deeds running for Governor of El Salvador?

UPDATE 2: Bwana has some interesting observations on this:

More important, though, is that the 2009 Democratic Party nominee for Governor of Virginia is letting slip his efforts in the same county where the 2008 Democratic Party nominee for President of the United States chose to finish his campaign.

If the single Virginia county that seemed to completely absorb the Obama message is proving to be so hostile to Creigh Deeds-well, that’s a story in itself.

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  1. Snapped Shot said on 7 Sep 2009 at 10:38 pm:
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    Deeds for El Gubernor!…

    I don’t know who designed the Creigh Deeds for Governor signs that have just started popping up all over our area (for a general idea of the pollution I refer to, see here), but I am definitely curious as to why the color scheme of that little swo…

  2. NotTimothyGeithner said on 8 Sep 2009 at 10:41 am:
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    You shouldn’t be pushing the “for lease” signs if you want to be taken seriously. They don’t own the building and temporary campaign offices generally get deals to use the space. Your video is damning not the “for lease” signs. Just a suggestion.

  3. Pat.Herve said on 8 Sep 2009 at 11:02 am:
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    If I owned the building, I would have a for lease sign up. Come November, win or lose, the building will be vacated.

  4. Rumor Hasit said on 8 Sep 2009 at 12:31 pm:
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    Problem is, it isn’t just the “For Lease” signs. It is the empty office. It is the absence of phones. It is the absence of literature. It is the absence of just about everything save a few lonely yard signs.

  5. Anonymous said on 8 Sep 2009 at 1:12 pm:
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    The Deeds campaign office is located at 7835 Sudley Road, Suite 102, Manassas, Virginia. Come on in and get your yard signs and bumper stickers.

  6. A citizen said on 8 Sep 2009 at 1:33 pm:
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    The office is just opening. Nice false smear job.

  7. Rumor Hasit said on 8 Sep 2009 at 2:08 pm:
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    I see no proof that the office is just opening. In fact, Deeds’ own statements that he’s spending the bulk of his resources NORTH of the Occoquan gives credence to him pulling out of PWC.

  8. Rumor Hasit said on 8 Sep 2009 at 2:09 pm:
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    Oh, and just looking at the video, there aren’t any yard signs or bumper stickers to be had in this “office.”

  9. El Fuego said on 8 Sep 2009 at 2:34 pm:
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    I just stopped by there, Anonymous, to check it out for myself. Looks to me like there is even LESS in that office now and the doors were LOCKED.

  10. Anonymous said on 8 Sep 2009 at 2:45 pm:
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    Now that I think about it, Where’s McDonnell’s office? Nothing is listed on his website for Prince William County. I’d like to stop by.

  11. Concerned said on 8 Sep 2009 at 2:50 pm:
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    The Republican field office (McDonnell and the rest) recently opened in the new shoppng center at the corner of Rt. 28 and Linton Hall Road. I hope Anonymous does stop by, pick up some literature, speak with some patriots, and maybe learn something.

  12. GOP girl said on 8 Sep 2009 at 3:10 pm:
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    Don’t forget the other McDonnell PWC office at the GOP headquarters on PW parkway near where the parkway and Old Bridge Rd connect.

  13. Casanova Frankenstein said on 8 Sep 2009 at 3:11 pm:
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    Not to mention PWC GOP HQ on the PW Parkway

  14. NotBackwardsBob said on 8 Sep 2009 at 3:13 pm:
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    El Fuego is wrong. I just had a slice at Mamma Mia’s and stopped in. Apparently Deeds people were setting up the office this weekend before going out to Buena Vista to win the sign war. Now they’re here to stay in 2,600 sq. ft. of competitive edge.

  15. Anonymous said on 8 Sep 2009 at 3:14 pm:
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    Sooooo… McDonnell doesn’t have his own Prince William County Field Office. That’s probably a good move to conserve resources for Fairfax and Loudon County, his “home turf”.

  16. Not llana Kaplan-Shain said on 8 Sep 2009 at 3:55 pm:
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    and if history is any indicator, Manassas will have a combined GOP field office in old town.

  17. Concerned said on 8 Sep 2009 at 3:59 pm:
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    Here we go again with the libs’ financial illiteracy, especially when spending other people’s money is involved (like the desperate $5 million injection Deeds just got from Timmy). Why buy multiple offices when one will serve the needs of all of the candidates and use resources more effectively? Experience in the private sector where you must actually earn your money and use it carefully rather than thinking it provides an unlimited source of taxes and borrowing helps you understand these things. I know this is far beyond the grasp of community organizers and their supporters.

  18. Anonymous said on 8 Sep 2009 at 4:08 pm:
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    Concerned… you’re right! I agree! The point is, how can you object to Deeds not having his own dedicated field office when McDonnell doesn’t have one (forgetting the fact that Deeds DOES have his own dedicated field office for the moment.)

    When you’re right, you’re right… you just missed the point.

    Ironically, I’m undecided at the moment… but just interested in the irony.

  19. es_la_ley said on 8 Sep 2009 at 5:21 pm:
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    Concerned said on 8 Sep 2009 at 2:50 pm:

    The Republican field office (McDonnell and the rest) recently opened in the new shoppng center at the corner of Rt. 28 and Linton Hall Road.

    Thanks for the tip.

  20. wineplz said on 8 Sep 2009 at 7:33 pm:
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    Anonymous said on 8 Sep 2009 at 3:14 pm

    The Republican field office in PWC is in the Bristow Shopping center, like Concerned mentioned. It’s right by Lin’s and the AT&T store. I just saw it this evening while attempting to go to Pickle Bob’s with my family (which was closed…not sure if it’s for some renovation or if they’re closing up permanently–it didn’t look good).

  21. Dittyman8 said on 8 Sep 2009 at 8:48 pm:
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    The Survey USA Poll has McDonnell still ahead 54-42 (12 points) over Deeds. This over a week after the Washington Post tried to sink McDonnell’s campaign with the thesis story. Sorry, lib reporters, your story about an old law school paper has no bearing on issues that Bob McDonnell is going to face as Governor and it’s getting no traction in the polls. So much for Democrat scare tactics.

  22. Casanova Frankenstein said on 9 Sep 2009 at 7:55 am:
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    NotBackwardsBob is wrong. Anyone who has seen photos from Buena Vista can see with their own eyes (just like you can see this video with your own eyes) that Deeds got crushed in the sign war. He thought he’d put his signs on top because they were attacked to the top portion of a high chain link fence. But McDonnell and Bolling put their signs on wooden beams that raised them fully above the top of the chain link fence. And there were soooooooo many more GOP signs than Dem signs.

  23. Ted said on 9 Sep 2009 at 8:30 am:
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    The Post isn’t giving up. Today’s version of the truth has a front page article on how in 2003 Delegate McDonnell voted WITH THE MAJORITY against re-confirming a judge accused of sexual harassment.

    I can’t wait to read the front page articles the Post will have on all of Deeds’ supposed foibles and disdeeds (no pun intended).

  24. Concerned said on 9 Sep 2009 at 10:48 am:
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    No dem signs were put up outside Heritage Hunt for last week’s Connolly sham townhall. Republicans put up lots of them, however.

    The dems have now put up signs on Heathcote Boulevard near the entrance to Heritage Hunt placed to obscure the view of the Repbulican signs that were already there.

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