On Tuesday evening Republicans will select their nominee for the special election in the 37th District and all indications are that Steve Hunt is heavily favored to win. Hunt has an impressive list of local endorsements, has maintained an enormous lead in our online poll, and as the only candidate with a record as an elected official has garnered the unanimous support of Northern Virginia conservative bloggers. The “firehouse primary” that will determine the nominee will be conducted from 6-10PM on Tuesday night at Centreville High School, and the winner will face off against Dave Marsden in a general election in January.
If you’re in this district, you need to be there. Voting will be light to say the least, which opens the door somewhat for his well-funded challenger Marianne Horinko to push a big get-out-the-vote effort and try to grab a last-minute win, while Hunt’s other opponent Will Nance seems to be lagging. “Firehouse primaries” are always a turnout game, sometimes decided by just a handful of votes, making the participation of each voter even more crucial than in a general election. Although Hunt seems to have the momentum and the energy of the Republican base, there have been surprises before that upset the conventional wisdom.
Meanwhile, Marianne Horinko has a fund raiser actually planned for two days after the special election (which doesn’t bode well for her campaign operations) and Dave Marsden is reportedly still sleeping away from his family in a rented room in the district as some Democrats continue to deride his carpet-bagging efforts. If Hunt delivers a strong win on Tuesday that unifies Fairfax Republicans, fractured Democrats aren’t likely to give someone like Dave Marsden the support he’d need to overcome the huge level of support Steve Hunt is gathering.
So far in the 37th District, things are looking pretty good for Republicans as Hunt clears the field of challengers and demoralized Democrats continue to wonder why they didn’t see this election coming and do something — anything — to prepare for it.
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