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A Perfect Storm in VA11?

By Greg L | 29 October 2010 | Keith Fimian, Gerry Connolly, US Congress | 12 Comments

Earlier this week we saw the DCCC drop over a million dollars in last-minute ads on behalf of Gerry Connolly, an expenditure that generated some of the most bizarre attack ads seen anywhere in the country, and which could potentially do more harm to Connolly’s campaign than good.  Now comes word from NLS via twitter that his sources are telling him that Keith Fimian is way ahead in internal polls, presumably conducted by the Democrats.  This seems to correlate to what I’ve been seeing and hearing, but I’d been under the impression this race was still somewhat pretty close.

If Keith Fimian is outside the margin of error in internal polls, that would suggest that in Virginia Hurt, Rigell, Griffith and Fimian all win their races putting the 8th District Patrick Murray vs. Jim Moran race as the one to watch.  Watching the hapless and despicable Jim Moran squirm in deep socialist country like Arlington is great entertainment, and hopefully that value will only be enhanced by seeing the anti-Semitic and anti-Veteran Moran get forcibly retired.  Just having a shot of that happening warms a conservative’s heart to no end.

Wow, thank you Barack Obama for utterly poisoning the Democrat brand, allowing us to take out some trash we should have dispensed with long ago.  We couldn’t have done it without you and your sycophants Reid and Pelosi who made it so clear to the electorate what you actually meant behind all those platitudes and glittering political generalities.  They’re not going to take that kind of garbage at face value ever again.

So if the wave-cum-tsunami rolling across these House races crashes equally over the Senate, Republicans stand a respectable chance of seizing not only the House but the Senate, and entirely shutting down the Obama legislative agenda. With Obama stripped of his key allies and still bumbling and fumbling around the job of President, he becomes irrelevant while Democrats engage in an internecine battle to figure out which neo-socialist multi-kulti demagogue is going to be the next leader to try to pull the wool over the eyes of a public increasingly wary of hopey-changey baloney masking a disturbing socialist agenda.  It’s pandemonium, at least for a while.

The prognosticators have clearly been caught off-guard this election, and haven’t bothered to pay any real attention to VA-11.  Just tonight the Cook Political Report, which some folks think is just so insightful for some bizarre reason, has decided suddenly that VA-11 is a toss-up, which is what everyone on the ground here was saying weeks ago.  The professional punditry is still obsessing over races like Hurt’s and Rigell’s that have already moved into near-certain double-digit thumpings, while ignoring how the battleground has shifted in the past two weeks to put challengers like Griffith and Fimian close to, and rather quickly over the top.

I get the feeling there are going to be a lot of pundits expressing surprise on Tuesday night when Fimain beats Connolly 54-46.



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12 Comments

  1. VRC said on 29 Oct 2010 at 10:09 pm:
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    Great post, Greg! I hope your sources are on the money. I can tell you there won’t be any trouble with conservatives showing up on Tuesday, thats for sure!

  2. Freedom said on 30 Oct 2010 at 6:53 am:
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    Absolutely agree, VRC….all of us conservatives are more than a bit uneasy and doing what we can for Keith!!!

  3. Fairfax said on 30 Oct 2010 at 7:02 am:
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    I actually owe Gerry a debt of gratitude. Years ago, as a small businessman, he once came to my aid when he was county supervisor. I even donated to his campaign.

    It was closed-door town halls and ObamaCare that flipped me 180 - sorry Gerry, you will never get my support again. Ever. I am rounding up every family member, friend and associate in the 11th to send you a crystal clear message next Tue. Here’s an advance copy…

    Enjoy your retirement.

  4. Jaspar said on 30 Oct 2010 at 7:11 am:
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    Beer for votes? (Va. Dem group appears to have violated federal election law)

    http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2617370/posts

  5. LJM said on 30 Oct 2010 at 7:36 am:
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    I hope this is true — that’s it’s not even close. A very clear message needs to be sent to DC. Even though the trend is towards Fimian, this is no time to get complacent. We’ll be working GOTV Sun & Mon.

    Obama going to Charlottesville today — I hope that his “magic” pays off for Periello’s challenger. Ha.

    I don’t know why the Dems are so nervous — as Obama reassured them, this time they have “him”.

    Go, Keith!

  6. Anonymous said on 30 Oct 2010 at 9:00 am:
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    “The Fairfax County Board of Supervisors in Virginia has approved, on a close 6-4 vote, the extension of a lease for the Islamic Saudi Academy, a Saudi Embassy-owned school described by local law enforcement as a “breeding ground for terrorists.”

    The academy, located in a 148,000-square-foot former public high school in Alexandria, Va., has graduated several terrorists, including a valedictorian-turned-al-Qaida agent recently sentenced to life in prison for plotting to assassinate President Bush.

    The hearing preceding the vote last week was contentious, with some 100 people turning out to protest the school. Ten of them – including Nina Shea of the U.S. Commission on International Religious Freedom – testified that teachers and textbooks there promote violence and teach anti-American ideology.

    At one point, supervisor Gerald Hyland of Alexandria stormed out of the auditorium, upset by lusty boos from protestors over his support for the school. Another supervisor who supports ISA, Catherine Hudgins, quietly joined Hyland outside. They voted for the lease, along with supervisors Sharon Bulova, Penelope Gross, John Foust and Linda Smyth. Supervisors John Cook, Michael Fry, Patrick Herrity and Jeffrey McKay opposed it.

    Supporters argued that the Saudi academy was good for business. The lease is expected to generate $2.6 million in county revenues in the first year, with a 5 percent increase each year after.

    Foes, including the anti-terror watchdog group Virginia Anti-Shariah Task Force, or VAST, argued that by continuing to lease the school building to the Saudi government the county was “enabling the growth of domestic jihad.”

    They noted the Saudi school’s alumni include Omar Abu Ali, an al-Qaida operative convicted of plotting to assassinate Bush. Ali graduated as valedictorian, and the school proudly published another superlative for him in its yearbook: “Voted Most Likely to be a Martyr,” a caption under his photo read.

    A couple of other academy graduates were arrested in Israel last decade for plotting terrorism.

    What’s more, the U.S. government has cited the school for using textbooks promoting hate and violence against Jews and Christians. Dawood Abdulrahman, head of the Islamic Studies Department at the academy, maintains the school recently revised it textbooks to show more tolerance, including removing all references to “jihad.”

    Abdulrahman also serves as a trustee of the Dar al-Hijrah Islamic Center in neighboring Falls Church, Va. The Saudi-funded mosque has been the subject of numerous terrorism investigations. Some of the 9/11 hijackers received help finding housing while worshipping there in 2001. At the time, the mosque employed imam Anwar Awlaki, now a fugitive al-Qaida cleric. The phone number for the Saudi-funded mosque was found in the address book of one of the senior al-Qaida planners of the 9/11 attacks, who was in Germany at the time.

    The hijackers stayed in an Alexandria apartment complex just across a highway from the Saudi academy’s campus. It is not clear if they had contact with ISA administration.

    The academy’s former comptroller, Ismail Elbarasse, was arrested after 9/11 for allegedly casing the Chesapeake Bay Bridge in Maryland for a possible terrorist attack. Elbarasse is a founding member of Dar al-Hijrah and served as ISA’s top accountant for 14 years.

    In 2008, ISA Director Abdalla Al-Sabnan was arrested for obstruction of justice related to a child abuse case.

    ‘Jihad’ Gerry Connolly

    ISA protestors noted that the former chairman of the Fairfax County Board of Supervisors – Gerry Connolly – “took Saudi money” while voting to keep the Saudi school open. Connolly, now a U.S. congressman, “received numerous contributions to his congressional campaign as he was shepherding the last lease renewal through the board and attacking opponents,” said VAST founder James Lafferty.

    Lafferty cited data reported in the book “Muslim Mafia” which show Connolly received thousands of dollars in donations from several Virginia Islamists under federal investigation for financing terrorism. In addition, the book reveals, Connolly received an $18,758 windfall from the Saudi government’s U.S. public-relations firm – Qorvis Communications – while fighting to keep open the Saudi academy.

    Former Qorvis co-founder and partner Doug Poretz admitted in an e-mail that “I was responsible for our support of Connolly,” but denied it had anything to do with the firm’s Saudi account.

    “I can assure you that when it comes to Qorvis’ support of Connolly, it had nothing to do with Saudi Arabia,” said Poretz, who held a fundraiser for Connolly in his home. “There is no reason for me to be anything than truthful on this matter.”

    After 9/11, the FBI investigated Qorvis for distributing Saudi propaganda under a different name.

    Qorvis’ managing partner Michael Petruzzello personally appeared at a news conference held at ISA to defend its textbooks. Petruzzello personally gave at least $2,300 to Connolly’s congressional campaign. Qorvis was on Saudi retainer at the time, yet Petruzzello did not report the contribution or other Qorvis contributions to Connolly in his Foreign Agents Registration Act report to the Justice Department, according to investigative journalist and terrorism analyst Paul Sperry, co-author of “Muslim Mafia,” which exposes radical Saudi and Muslim Brotherhood front groups in America.

    “Connolly was busy cashing checks and shilling for the Saudis, but we didn’t find out about it until after the vote was taken and after he had called the citizen opposition ‘bigots,’ ” Lafferty said, referring to the last vote on the Saudi academy’s lease.

    Connolly, a Democrat, faces Republican challenger Keith Fimian, a business owner, in the race for Virginia’s District 11 on Nov. 2. Fimian has called Connolly a liar, charging that “he will tell you things that are outright lies.” Connolly’s office declined comment.

    “All of the Saudi money buys a lot,” Lafferty said, “but it doesn’t buy the American people.”

    He and his group have demanded “full disclosure from every member of the board concerning donations or cash payments they have received from the ISA, Dar al-Hijrah and all other related Muslim Brotherhood front groups.”

    Lafferty asserts that receiving funds from these groups “results in a conflict of interest” in their ISA vote.

    The renewed ISA lease extends the current lease from July 1, 2011, to June 30, 2012.”

    http://www.wnd.com/index.php?fa=PAGE.view&pageId=220941

  7. Anonymous said on 30 Oct 2010 at 10:12 am:
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    Virginia Dem Rep. Glenn Nye:

    No, I Do Not Want Obama to Campaign For Me…

    http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/house-races/126593-dem-rep-nye-doesnt-want-obama-to-campaign-for-him

  8. Just the Facts said on 30 Oct 2010 at 10:41 am:
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    Greg - this is great news! I hope it is all correct. I’m looking forward to Keith getting elected and representing us rather than special interests. I hope fervently to be able to support Keith enthusiastically in 2012 for reelection after he stays true to those conservatives who elected him, and turns his back on those who want cheap, imported labor, corporate welfare and tax subsidies to shift American jobs abroad. They have the bigger checkbooks but we have a lot more votes. Make us proud and don’t disappoint us Keith.

  9. Ted said on 30 Oct 2010 at 3:25 pm:
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    For what it’s worth, I just came back from a trip and drove through the far southwestern/coal mining part of our great commonwealth. The number of Boucher and Griffith signs outside of businesses/private homes was prevalent everywhere with Griffith have a slight but noticeable advantage.

    I believe this is significant because being coal country the coalmining unions are strong as is the general desire for an activist federal government (unemployment there even in good times is in double digits). The area went big time for Hillary over BHO in the 2008 primary and I wonder if there might be a little bit of payback going on with Boucher (with his insane vote FOR Cap and Trade) being the victim?

    It will be interesting to see if the rest of the 9th CD feels the same way.

  10. USA said on 30 Oct 2010 at 5:00 pm:
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    Are there coal mining unions in Virginia? I thought Virginia was a right to work state.

    I went to Unionfacts.com and didn’t see a mention of a coal miner’s union.

    Even if they exist here, the rank and file cannot be coerced into voting, can they?

    Or are the local pols bought and paid for?

    If so, where is the AG?

    Come on, these things exist - but only when allowed. So don’t print stories about how the unions are effecting elections - print stories about how right wing Virginia AGs allow them.

    Its all about power. Power used and power held back deliberately.

    We HAVE the power. Our “leaders” just lack testosterone, honor, courage and honesty.

  11. Ted said on 30 Oct 2010 at 5:48 pm:
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    My father-in-law was a miner and member of the UMW. I can assure you that the UMW has a presence in SW Virginia (along with non-union mines) and that Boucher has spoken to them in campaign rallies this year.

    http://www2.tricities.com/news/2010/sep/26/boucher-promises-fight-coal-industry-umwa-picnic-ar-525583/

    Not quite sure what your point is, but I’m sure that many union members vote the way their leadership wants them to, just as many do not vote as their leadership wants them to.

  12. June Smith said on 1 Nov 2010 at 5:46 am:
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    This morning on the news, polls predict Connolly will inch past Fimmian to retain his seat in the House.

    I implore everyone to please do whatever you can to ensure voters get out and vote Connolly out of office. For years, Connolly chaired the Fairfax County Board of Supervisors and nearly destroyed the county. He is doing the same in Congress, but on a grander scale. We can’t afford to allow this man to serve another term.

    I am in the 8th District, and unfortunately, unable to vote against this man. However, I am working feverishly to “RetireJimMoran.com”

    Tomorrow can be liberation day for American voters if we recognize how powerful our votes are, and take them seriously.

    The first step towards effecting change in America - taking back our country and turning our economy around - is to change our Congress.

    VOTE!

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