Campaigns in Prince William County are getting in gear as filing deadlines rapidly approach. Looking at the progress candidates have made (or not) gives us a good idea of just who is serious about winning, and who is not. Here’s the breakdown:
BOCS Chairman: Democrat Babur Lateef made a lot of noise when he first announced but seems to have gone on vacation since then. Republican Bob Weir hasn’t been circulating petitions as far as I can tell and probably will not file to challenge Corey Stewart for the Republican nomination. Independent John Gray only gets press coverage when reporters need to ask someone questions about other candidates. Looks like a pretty easy win for Corey Stewart.
Gainesville District: Of the five Republican candidates who have announced, only Pete Candland, Martha Hendley and Steve Botello seem to be doing anything. Candland is up on the web and facebook, the only one so far to get both done. Hendley is reportedly close to having her website done, and Botello seems to spend as much time updating facebook as he spends knocking doors. When the filing deadline expires these three will likely be the only ones vying for the nomination. Michael Hugh and Suzanne Miller (not Delegate Jackson Miller’s wife) have been invisible the past few weeks. Dems are still trying to figure out Ann Wheeler who has been a big John Stirrup supporter in the past and surprised many by running in this race as a Democrat. Roemmelt and the PWCDC will be happy to have anyone with a pulse on the ballot this year though as their candidate recruitment has been abysmal this cycle. (UPDATE: Martha Hendley has her website up as well today.)
Brentsville District: Jeanine Lawson is campaigning hard to unseat Wally Covington in Brentsville and seems to have a decent shot at doing so. She’s got an uphill battle to compete financially, but probably is already winning in the ground game. This race looks like the strongest effort to unseat an incumbent this year — so far. No word on Democrat opposition, but it’s very unlikely in this district.
Coles District: Bob Pugh made a strong speech at the Republican Committee meeting when he announced, has been knocking doors and has his website up. It must have shook up Marty Nohe a bit since he suddenly started working on his facebook presence. Here’s another currently underfunded challenger who has to work hard to win, but there are a lot of rocks available to throw at Marty Nohe’s voting record and his history of quietly supporting the illegal alien lobby. No word on Democrat challengers, but there is a rumor going around about an independent filing in this race, and independents don’t have to formally file yet.
Potomac (formerly Dumfries) District: Maureen Caddigan seems to have a free ride this election cycle.
Neabsco District: No one other than a complete nutcase like Aracelly Panameno is going to challenge John Jenkins. It’s a waste of time and effort.
Woodbridge District: While the business community has grown to loathe Frank Principi, I’ve seen no indication anyone is working on getting petition signatures to challenge him. There are potential candidates in this district — some pretty good ones in fact — but so far they’re either stealthy as all getout or passing up this great opportunity to get rid of this chump.
The Republican filing deadline in Prince William County is Wednesday.
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