Virtucon was the first out with the news of Jeff Frederick’s stunning campaign finance report for the second quarter, albeit without the analysis this news really deserves. The implications here go far beyond the 36th District, making a big statement about the 2012 US Senate race and George Allen’s ability to reward political allies and deliver punishment upon those who aren’t. Right here on George Allen’s doorstep, his political proxy is getting hammered.
If you have been following the blogs that cover state-level politics and seen what Brietbart is up to, you’d think Tito Munoz is a shoo-in for the Republican nomination in the 36th District. Everyone allied with the political establishment has been pushing the idea that Tito Munoz is the saving grace for Republicans in that he’s Latino, speaks with a heavy Spanish accent, promotes conservative fiscal and economic policies and regularly calls anyone who doesn’t agree with him a socialist. For the whole crowd that thinks that unless we pander to specific ethnic and racial groups there’s no hope for Republicans in the future, Tito seems like a perfect candidate. He’s actually quite a likable guy, and while I might not agree with him all the time, I agree he’s quite worthy of consideration as a candidate and a great asset to the Republican Party.
So in weighs George Allen, who doubles down on Tito Munoz with a big endorsement. Whether that’s because he actually likes Tito, or is fighting with Jeff Frederick I’ll leave for readers to decide, but my gut tells me that this has a lot more to do with Jeff than with Tito. Frederick has been throwing rocks at establishment Republicans for years, and they’ve hit back, leaving little love lost between the two camps. I figure if Gerry Connolly was in a matchup against Jeff Frederick, Connolly would get Allen’s support, even if it had to be quite a bit “under the radar.”
What do you expect when you have an establishment candidate (Tito) running against an anti-establishment candidate (Frederick)? That the establishment candidate is going to utterly crush the other guy in fundraising. The establishment talks to their donors and suggests they help out their guy, and the wallets open, and before you know it some knucklehead who otherwise would be begging for $20 donations is getting five figure checks. So when Frederick out-raises Munoz by an order of magnitude, something is seriously amiss in establishment land. They got their butts handed to them. Big time.
Tito Munoz raised a paltry (for a Senate race) $11,800 from a total of 38 donors. Frederick raised about $91K from 184 donors and got another $20K in in-kind donations. This leaves Frederick with a war chest of over $90K compared to Munoz’ $11K with a primary battle looming in late August. For a George Allen-backed establishment candidate against the grass-roots anti-establishment candidate, this is awfully lopsided in the wrong direction.
For some strange reason, even if George Allen is telling his donors that Tito is the guy, they’re not giving him money. Allen pulled in $1.1 million this last quarter, but his guy Tito is swinging in the wind with campaign finances holding only about eleven thousand in his campaign account. It seems like there’s a huge disconnect happening here. Where are the establishment bucks? Or is Allen sucking all the oxygen out of the Munoz campaign so Allen can run for Senate with a big cash advantage?
Whatever the real explanation is here, there’s a repeating pattern at work here that we’ve seen time after time. The establishment writes off Jeff Frederick and underestimates him. Jeff doesn’t give a hoot about what they think and works his butt off, and does it smart. The establishment gets caught with their pants around their ankles and Frederick stuns them with the results of his efforts. It happens to Democrats, and it happens to Republicans. When you think Jeff Frederick is an easy mark, he’s going to surprise the heck out of you and you won’t know what just happened after the final buzzer sounds. You just know you got thumped.
This finance report is just the beginning. Just watch Jeff Frederick roll over Tito Munoz like a tidal wave while the establishment wonders once again how that could have possibly happened, even though I’m telling them right now. Then Frederick goes on to deliver the same lesson to Toddy Puller.
I am really looking forward to that.
The opinions expressed here are solely the views of the author, and not representative of the position of any organization, political party, doughnut shop, knitting guild, or waste recycling facility, but may be correctly attributed to the Vast Right-Wing Conspiracy. If anything in the above article has offended you, please click here to receive an immediate apology.
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