Remember when I was predicting a Republican blowout this election cycle? Based on the information I’m getting it may be time to revise the prognostications, as “blowout” doesn’t seem to adequately describe the massacre Democrats are facing this cycle. Obama is like a thousand pound weight dragging down everyone with a “D” label on them this cycle and we’re looking at a shift that will clearly set a new record in Virginia not seen, well, ever before.
Here are a few NOVA Senate races that are actually looking rather competitive right now that hadn’t seemed to be not long ago:
Caren Merrick: In a district that includes Arlington and has an incumbent member of the Arlington Board on it, you’d think this was out of reach. Caren has run a tremendous campaign, and given the tailwinds of Obama’s cratering approval rating Caren is looking awfully good right now.
Jason Flanary: Dave Marsden wasn’t much loved by Fairfax County Dems to begin with, but now that he’s got the Obama anchor around his neck that love is rapidly evaporating. Marsden is in big trouble as his base looks to sit this one out.
Patricia Phillips: Running against incumbent Mark Herring, Patricia looked like a bit of a longshot before. Not now. This one has become awfully competitive.
Tom Gordy: Not long ago Tom’s strategy was to hold his losses in Eastern PWC to around 55-45 and win big in Western PWC. With Colgan’s Democrat base demoralized and evaporating, the question becomes whether Colgan can even win in Eastern Prince William at all. A nice comeuppance to a Senator that supports in-state tuition rates for illegal aliens, yet who tries to tell voters he’s a moderate.
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