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BVBL 72 Hour Report

By Greg L | 5 November 2011 | Loudoun County, Fairfax County, Virginia House, Virginia Senate, Prince William County | 8 Comments

Lots of campaign activity across Northern Virginia, especially with Governor McDonnell, Lieutenant Governor Bolling, Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli, RPV Chairman Pat Mullins and Senate Minority Leader Tommy Norment swinging by campaign rallies across the area this weekend.  As these races enter their final days, some races are tightening and you have an opportunity to make the extra push to get conservatives elected on Tuesday.

Close Races

These are the races that need your help the most, and they’re very close.

Gainesville Supervisor: a lot of late attacks on Peter Candland are making this race closer than it should be.  Make sure you talk to your neighbors about how this race is a choice between a conservative that wants to keep your taxes low, and a liberal who is partly responsible for you paying the highest electric rates in Virgina.

Woodbridge Supervisor: there isn’t polling available on this one, but it absolutely seems like Chris Royse is running very close in this one.  Anyone concerned about the illegal immigration issue should remember that Principi’s first act after being elected was to try to repeal the Rule of Law Resolution and take special pleasure that their efforts talking to neighbors over the next few days to help make the difference here.  Principi is on the ropes.  Let’s dump this chump!

87th House District:  David Ramadan has been driving the left nuts, as this video clearly attests (foul language warning) and some unfortunate, misplaced concerns about David being some kind of closet jihadist being pushed by a bunch of utterly irresponsible people aren’t helping matters at all.  David could use some help getting his voters turned out these last few days.

29th Senate District:  Well, this isn’t one I expected to be close, but it is.  Tom Gordy is in a tremendous position to knock off Chuck Colgan and your help over the next few days can help make that happen.  Democrats have pushed almost $100,000 into Colgan’s campaign over the past few days trying to rescue him, but your help can make sure that doesn’t work.

36th Senate District:  Jeff Frederick and Toddy Puller are running neck-and-neck, and this one is going to come down to turnout.  Replacing the very liberal Puller with a conservative like Frederick will make a huge difference in the Senate and a few hours of your time over the next few days could be all it takes to push Jeff over the top.

The Gap Widens

Here are the folks pulling ahead.  If you’re in these Districts, pitch in a bit and gain the satisfaction that you’re on the winning team!  That doesn’t happen too many times in these districts!

39th Senate District: Miller Baker has done a tremendous job, prompting Democrats to throw a whopping $235,000 into Barker’s campaign since October 27th trying to save him.  It’s not working.  Every indication is that Barker is going down.

37th District: From out of nowhere Jason Flannary has come to blindside Dave Marsden and Democrats have had to put in $100k over the last week trying to rescue him once they figured out what was going on.  Flannary is now outside the margin of error and Marsden is doing what he does best – act confused.

13th Senate District: Dick Black looks like he’s running away with this one.  If you’re in this district don’t rest on your laurels though, as some overlapping races could really use some help. The better Dick Black does with his turnout, the better it is for a lot of his teammates.

Getting Close

Here are some campaigns who could tighten the gap over the next few days and with favorable turnout manage to pull off an upset.

31st Senate District: Caren Merrick is closing the gap here, and with some grass-roots help during the last 72 hours could win this one.  Just imagine how liberals would feel if a district that includes a portion of Alexandria ends up electing a Second Amendment supporter like Merrick!

33rd Senate District: Patricia Phillips could pull off an upset here and retire Mark Herring, but it’s going to take people talking to their neighbors, making a few calls, and doing whatever else they can to get conservatives out to the polls.

Stay tuned for more to come, including some additional election guides.

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  1. Anonymous said on 5 Nov 2011 at 5:08 pm:
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    Virginia state Senate election may be signal for Obama

    WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Virginia’s state Senate elections next week are shaping up as an early signal for President Barack Obama ahead of national elections next year.

    Republicans have a strong shot at taking control of the state Senate from Democrats on Tuesday, political analysts said. A win would put state government solidly in Republican hands in an important swing state, and mark a sharp turnaround from 2008, when Obama became the first Democrat to win Virginia since 1964.

    Political analysts said loss of the 40-seat state Senate to Republicans would be a bad sign for Obama as he seeks to win Virginia and its 13 electoral votes next year.

    In 2009 Republicans won the governorship, previously held by a Democrat, and increased their majority in the House of Delegates. A Senate majority would complete Republican control of the state.

    “I think the odds are strongly in favor of the Republicans taking control of the Senate,” said Mark Rozell, a professor of public policy at George Mason University.

    “It is a very key, important state, and political observers around the country will be watching Virginia as an important bellwether.”

    Underscoring the state’s significance, Obama toured Virginia last month, Republican presidential hopeful Mitt Romney has visited a northern Virginia campaign office, and former President Bill Clinton held a campaign fund-raiser for Democratic state Senate candidates.

    The Democrats now control the Senate by a 22-18 margin. Although local issues such as gun control, traffic jams and education dominate the races, some Republican candidates have made Obama and his handling of the sluggish national economy an issue.


  2. Bwana said on 5 Nov 2011 at 6:21 pm:
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    Dang…re you saying that Flanary not only leads Marsden, but the lead is outside the margin of error?

  3. Isophorone said on 5 Nov 2011 at 6:38 pm:
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    1) Does the 31st include parts of Alexandria, or only north Arlington?

    2) Any word on the 34th Senate District?

  4. Greg L said on 5 Nov 2011 at 7:27 pm:
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    I haven’t heard anything on 34. I would assume that’s not great news.

  5. Anonymous said on 5 Nov 2011 at 8:37 pm:
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    SD31 now includes much of Arlington, northern sections of Farifax Co. and part of Loudoun Co.


  6. Lovettsville Lady said on 5 Nov 2011 at 11:07 pm:
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    Good analysis. Pretty much what I’m hearing from Fairfax and Loudoun. Tuesday’s going to be a great day for republicans but we must make sure that we get every vote to the polls. Get all the absentee votes in too. They must be received by Tuesday so there is still time to mail them.

    I can’t wait to see Dick Black and David Ramadan win and Marsden lose. Oh Happy Day!

  7. Steve Thomas said on 6 Nov 2011 at 6:14 pm:
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    Was driving up 28 yesterday. Saw lots of signs that read: “Don’t get mad. Get Even. VOTE REPUBLICAN!”. I think that says it all.

  8. Riley said on 6 Nov 2011 at 9:33 pm:
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    Tuesday is going to be one of those nights where we say, “Gee, I’m glad I’m not on the other side of this one!” Now all that is left is the voting!

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