This has been a wild week at the local, state and national level. Beyond the news, or lack thereof in the mainstream media, there’s a lot of important insights from this week’s developments that give us a good view on what’s going to happen in the weeks and months ahead.
Is Romney the next McCain? Given his tepid response to Obama’s amnesty plan, one really has to wonder. During the primary Romney was quick to lay out policy positions that really appealed to conservatives, and was arguably the most hawkish of the candidates on immigration issues. His first test of whether he actually holds those principles was his response to Obama’s amnesty, and in that he fell awfully short of his previously stated convictions by offering rather vague support for some sort of “dream amnesty,” although we don’t really know what that might be. At this weekend’s RPV convention there hardly seemed to be any enthusiasm evident from the Republican base for this candidate, so I doubt I’m the only one left wondering here.
There’s not much more amusing than a Ron Paul delegation. At today’s RPV convention I overheard Ron Paul delegates passionately, but incongruously talking about how there might be multiple ballots on a contest that only had two candidates. After the announcement that Donna Holt lost her contest for RPV Committeewoman, the look of absolute shock and surprise they offered was quickly followed by cries of “recount!” I understand what it’s like to be a newbie in this environment, but these people sure seem to know a whole lot that simply isn’t true. Their expressions of confused amazement when confronted by reality are utterly priceless. Still, someone should be helping these folks understand what’s going on if they ever hope to make effective use of this passionate and dedicated band, lest the just melt away after serial disappointment.
The Lieutenant Governor’s race is going to get real interesting, very soon. Corey Stewart is going to be joined by several others in this race, and first out of the gate will probably be Scott Lingamfelter if the rumors floating around are true. For quite some time it looked like Corey would have an open field, now there’s talk of Jill Vogel, Jeannemarie Davis, Scott Martin, Jeff McWaters and others joining the race. We could have as many as five candidates fighting for the Republican nomination in what looks like the most exciting political battle of 2013, since the Governor’s race looks all but decided at this point. Everyone is wondering whether Bolling will announce his intention to run for re-election and really throw this LG contest into complete chaos, but it doesn’t look like that’s going to happen.
Has Bill Bolling peaked? Many, many Republicans genuinely like the guy, but he’s being out-worked by a mile, his campaign is beset by constant gaffes, and every time he has an opportunity to make a presence he either fails to show up or announces he’s deferring the opportunity. As the second-in-command in Virginia and previously as the second spot on the Republican ballot he’s done a very competent job, but can’t seem to get it together enough to really shoot for the top job. The more I see in this campaign, the more I suspect there’s little for him but hope that Romney wins and has an opportunity to make him a presidential appointee somewhere. He’d definitely be an asset to a Romney administration, especially given the dedicated loyalty he’s shown towards McDonnell during his term as Governor, but it’s increasingly clear LG is probably going to be the last elected office he ever serves in.
Will peace break out in the Prince William County Board of Supervisors? Despite Supervisor Peter Candland trying to set the latest political combat with the board behind him in a letter this week, it is clear that his colleagues are still determined to exact revenge in whatever way they can. From the looks of things, I expect the battles to get even more intense and deeply personal as Supervisor Candland and his staff gets subjected to opposition research efforts worthy of a statewide campaign operation. Candland and everyone around him is getting vetted here beyond the level you’d expect to see in a Congressional campaign, which might actually end up doing Candland a huge favor in the long-term, as annoying as it is. This is only going to end once the board recognizes just how Candland’s approval in the district has skyrocketed and how little impact any dirt-digging regarding his short tenure on the board may likely ever have. I stand with Candland, and I’m certainly not alone here given the activity at my CafePress shop.
Hold on to your hats, folks. It’s only going to get weirder between now and November 6th.
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