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The Idiocy Of Amnesty

By Greg L | 31 January 2013 | National Politics, Illegal Aliens | 12 Comments

After a full-court press since November of the meme “Republicans have to do something for Hispanics or they’ll lose every election,” Republican members of both the House and Senate have been working hard to come up with some version of “comprehensive immigration reform” that will make Hispanic voters like them more, but not alienate the base.  The broad outlines of a plan have emerged from the Senate with none other as Tea Party favorite Marco Rubio acting as chief salesman, the President has made a speech about his plan, and members of the House will probably announce their own plan in the coming weeks.  None of these so far actually seem to recognize the reality of the issues we face, employ a different approach that hasn’t failed terribly in the past, or hope in any way to make things better for the American people.

In 1986 we had the same problem, with about two million illegal aliens unlawfully residing in the US.  Something had to be done about the problem we were told, and Congress decided that the best way to handle this was to give amnesty to these illegal aliens and promise to secure the border.  The program was overwhelmed with fraud and abuse, three million illegal aliens were given amnesty, border security was largely ignored, and the provisions to punish employers for hiring illegal aliens were unenforced for the most part.  Twenty six years later the illegal alien problem had exploded to between twelve and twenty million illegal aliens, and Congress is busy crafting yet another amnesty that somehow is not an amnesty.

The key provisions of that 1986 act aren’t fundamentally different than the outlines of this new amnesty plan, which we know by now was not a solution to this problem at all.  The 1986 act required employers to attest to their employees’ immigration status, made it illegal to knowingly hire or recruit unauthorized immigrants, legalized certain seasonal agricultural illegal immigrants and legalized illegal immigrants who entered the United States before January 1, 1982 and had resided here continuously with the penalty of a fine, back taxes due, and admission of guilt.  We’re being told this iteration of “comprehensive immigration reform” isn’t an amnesty because it requires illegal aliens pay fines and back taxes, and that it’s different because in the future border security will be addressed.  No, it’s the same approach, the same approach that didn’t work before and won’t work now.

Supporting this plan are some Republicans who have apparently swallowed the idea that they can’t win elections without pandering to the open borders lobby, that Hispanics demand amnesty for illegal aliens and if all they do is throw away their principles Hispanics will stop hating them and happily pull the lever for these new “enlightened” Republicans.  Anyone who swallows this wholesale garbage doesn’t deserve to win elections because their understanding of the dynamics here are utterly and hopelessly flawed.

After the 1986 amnesty, George H. W. Bush garnered all of 30% of the Hispanic vote, despite his cheer-leading position for that amnesty.  Any politician who thinks they’re going to outperform these numbers needs to have their head examined.  Why didn’t Bush the Elder get rewarded for his pandering to the open borders crowd?  Because immigration policy isn’t the most important issue for Hispanic voters, as both Gallup and the Pew Hispanic Center attest.  What they do care about are the same social welfare issues you’d expect of any demographic with a high percentage of single-parent families, high enrollment in welfare programs, and a very low rate of participation in the tax system.  To top it off, Hispanics tend to have the highest negative views of capitalism of any demographic in the country, like big government over smaller government by a margin of 75-25%, and look favorably on Obamacare.  These folks aren’t suddenly voting for Republicans because they back a another “one-time” amnesty, they’re voting Democrat because they’re statists.  If you want to get their votes, you better start talking to them about economic issues.

That in itself is quite an issue when so many Hispanic voters are getting their news filtered through younger family members who are more fluent in English.  Although Grandma might have some pretty conservative ideas about a few things, when everything she is learning about candidates comes from her fifteen year-old grandson, she’s pulling the lever for Obama.  Amnesty won’t change that.  This amnesty plan, especially if it adds a few tens of millions of folks from socialist third-world countries to the voter rolls, isn’t the path to recovery for Republicans that have gotten beaten in the last two presidential elections — it is a funeral notice.

The partisan problems with this pale in comparison with the fiscal and policy problems inherent in this plan, though.  Our federal entitlement programs are already on a road to bankruptcy, and adding twenty million primarily low-income to these programs is going to exacerbate the problem tremendously.  Our federal tax system already redistributes a massive chunk of wealth to low income filers, and a vast number of illegal aliens would reasonably qualify for tax credits if they were treated fairly, making that problem worse.  The Un-Affordable Care Act would be burdened with yet another massive, budget-bursting outlay.  Our unemployment problems would quickly rise with an influx of low-skilled, under-educated, now-legal workers.  To make matters worse, by the time an amnesty got working, the number of illegal aliens who could qualify might well suddenly jump another 50% through fraud and abuse, just as it did in 1986 when two million illegal aliens suddenly became three million.

I can only imagine what’s going on at the border tonight, with all this talk of amnesty rippling through the crime-ridden, disease-infested shantytowns of northern Mexico.  You bet they’re packing up for a trip north.  They’d be crazy not to, and clearly they already are.

Right now about 4.6 foreign nationals are trying to immigrate to the country legally.  No effort is being made to increase the efficiency of the system that makes them wait for many years, sometimes even decades.  Instead, an illegal alien who crossed the border a month ago gets amnesty under this plan, while that legal immigrant is going to have to wait another ten years while immigration authorities deal with the crush of millions of amnesty applicants.  Why would immigrants even bother with the legal immigration system, if it is more expensive, takes longer, and is more onerous than just overstaying a visa?  What is the point of having laws, then?

Yet Congress and this administration ask us to trust them on this.  They’re working hard to make a responsible deal and keep their word to the American people.  Let’s review for a second their track record on keeping their word, just on this one issue.

There are 500,000 fugitive illegal aliens in the United States right now.  They were ordered deported and the federal government just let them go, and now they don’t know where they are and aren’t making much of an effort to find them and deport them.  Some of these people are risks to our national security, but instead of making any effort to find them, Congress wants to hand out amnesty.

Congress repeatedly promised they would resolve our border security problems.  Hey Senator McCain, where’s that “dang” fence you were so hot about getting built during your last campaign?  It’s still not there.  Neither is much of the enforcement we were promised, and the enforcement measures we got back in 1986 are now being dismantled by this administration through executive orders.

A dozen amnesties have been handed out since 1986 for an addition five million illegal aliens on top of the three million given amnesty in 1986, each one accompanied by a promise that this would end the illegal immigration problem.  Instead the problem has only gotten worse.  Every promise has been unfulfilled.  Every one.

That’s not much of a basis to place any trust at all in what Congress or this administration may try to do.

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  1. Hmmm said on 31 Jan 2013 at 11:36 pm:
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    These same guys who said that the do not call registry will stop illegal telemarketing are saying they have a solution to illegal immigration? Yeah, I’ll believe that. In no time illegal aliens will be as common as telemarketing calls from those buttwipes at “card services.”

  2. Cynic said on 1 Feb 2013 at 11:26 am:
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    Another Amnesty with Open Borders!

    Lets have an Office Pool on when the next Amnesty after this 2013 Amnesty will occur and how many illegals will be involved.

    The 1986 Amnesty involved around 3 million illegals; the number used for the current Amnesty is 11 million - which is understated by at least 10 million.

  3. Ronald said on 1 Feb 2013 at 1:17 pm:
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    Damn it… we really need a 3rd party. Enough voting for those who will sell out our values and traditions

  4. Ronnie said on 1 Feb 2013 at 2:16 pm:
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    Here we go again.

  5. Cynic said on 1 Feb 2013 at 6:31 pm:
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    Check this one - at the bottom of the article:

    “Another is to allow unregulated immigration in order to lower standards of living and drain local resources.”

  6. Hmmm said on 1 Feb 2013 at 8:42 pm:
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    Different day, same snake oil.

  7. Anonymous said on 2 Feb 2013 at 12:41 pm:
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    The Republicans will never get a meaningful Latino vote in any future election. Just like the black vote, Latinos are going to align themselves with the party that gives them the “freebies” i.e the Democratic party. The Republicans are crazy if they think they can get a meaningful Latino vote. The point will be moot in just a few years anyway when the Latino population in this country will be the majority. It is nearly so now in California. When we reach that point, only Latinos will be elected and they will have effectively “got their stolen lands back from the Gringo.”

  8. Benton said on 2 Feb 2013 at 12:57 pm:
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    I think you’re underestimating “Grandma” or choose to to avoid accepting the problem republicans face. Also as a Grandma, I feel insulted. But that’s what BVBL is all about, right?

  9. Cynic said on 2 Feb 2013 at 1:51 pm:
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    If I am still around, am planning to throw a party when the illegals vote their masters (democrats) out of Office and vote in their own!

    Think I saw either some estimates or projections indicating that the Latino population will surpassed the white population in California this year. It follows that in a few years Latino eligible voters will outnumber eligible white voters and then elect Latinos’. Nothing unusual about that.

  10. Justwatching said on 2 Feb 2013 at 4:05 pm:
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    Was it the Republicans who voted for the amnesty in 86 under Reagan? If so, it did not help the Republican vote at that time or since. So why cave in now. Close the borders and then talk about it. MAke them go home and make their way back. And I agree, there is no way they have an accurate count of how many are here. They all have four or five names. They are at home collecting worker’s comp and unempoyment and voting as many times as they can. The fast food industry supplys the bulk of them with jobs. I got an idea, quit fast food and our health will improve and the persons working them will suffer… Not to mention all the loans they defaulted on under one name and then go get another… Make them get tags and inspections on the heaps they drive too. Road checks for everyone! And what’s up with storing all the cars to send home. I do not mind. They are taking our jobs, getting free health care and do not belong here.

  11. Scout said on 2 Feb 2013 at 9:49 pm:
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    @Cynic: don’t worry about it. Illegals can’t vote.

  12. Citizen-Veteran said on 12 Feb 2013 at 7:59 pm:
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    Disgusting! McCain-Kennedy “Dream Act” Round II. . . . The country is getting pushed down the toilet by both parties. No guts or morality in Congress. The Speaker is spineless. The House conservatives are hiding. The Republican senators are still prancing around “observing the politeness of the Club of 100″ while the extreme leftwing senators hurl the taxpayers and Constitution down Mr. Crapper’s invention.

    GOP rank and file need to vet candidates better. Tea Party needs to up their game at all GOP primaries and conventions. If this continues, Republicans will wake up one day and think they are in the Democratic Party.

    Politicians in Congress seem to think they can give America away to foreigners. Perhaps we should start the mass deportations with Members of Congress?

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