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The Dynamic Of 2015

By Greg L | 27 December 2014 | Prince William County | 4 Comments

This year has seen some massive changes in our elected bodies as voter anger and frustration manifested itself in elections near and far.  This freight train of voter outrage seems to only be picking up steam as we head to the elections of 2015 in Virginia, and soon we’re going to discover who tries to get on board and who gets run over.  For some, the visuals of getting plowed into a railbed by a runaway locomotive will hardly seem adequate to explain the electoral drubbing which awaits them.

First, let’s take a look at a race that few other than those among the grassroots thought might even be competitive: the trashing of Eric Cantor.  The second-most powerful Republican in the House of Representatives, armed with more campaign money than most could imagine and the political power of royalty, he’d grown increasingly out-of-touch with the electorate as he pandered to special interests in search of more money and even more power.  He was defeated by more than ten points by a political novice after trying to “phone in” the election while his power grabs alienated ever-widening swaths of the electorate in his district.

Next, let’s look at Jeanine Lawson’s almost unprecedented triumph as she took on the establishment and development interests, prevailing in a three way race with 75% of the vote.  Admittedly, her real competition in the race was about the worst candidate ever to darken the political stage in the county, but Scott Jacobs’ strategy of buying the election and assembling a voting bloc of development and business interests failed miserably, while Eric Young’s effort to resurrect any semblance of a Democrat narrative in this district was laughably inadequate.  Lawson could have won this race only with the voters who flocked to attend a meaningless nomination event where there was no contest, but instead the polls were overwhelmed by voters who not only liked Jeanine, but wanted to send a clear message to their elected overlords.

These two vastly different elections in different parts of the commonwealth are nevertheless a product of the same electoral dynamic that promises to overwhelm everything else next year.  Voters are angry.  They don’t trust campaign rhetoric, they are increasingly disgusted with elected officials who promise one thing and then sell out those supposedly inviolable principles at the first opportunity, and they’re not taking it any more.  When Randy Forbes, of all people, draws protests at his district office because he broke faith with his voters, there’s something really big going on.  Hell, Randy Forbes is just about the best conservative Congressman in Virginia, and voters are even painting a target on him?  If even he’s not safe from voter ire, who could possibly be resting on their laurels?

At the county level, the outrageous shenanigans in the School Board, which dutifully rubber-stamps every dumb idea and spending extravagance of Dr. Walts puts just about every member of the school board firmly bound to the railroad tracks of the voters locomotive of disgust.  Not one of them is safe this year.  Among the county supervisors, a recent “come to Jesus” meeting among the reformers and the establishment has Corey Stewart backtracking as fast as he can now that he’s gotten a glimpse of what’s coming at him down the tracks.  Even members of the General Assembly, where local elected officials have done a far better, albeit somewhat imperfect job of honoring their promises are in danger.  There’s an electoral bloodbath brewing where anyone who can possibly be equated with John Boehner is at dire risk of retiring to the private sector.

That voter outrage is entirely warranted as the overall Republican establishment has utterly failed to deliver on what they promised the electorate.  Republicans enacted Virginia’s largest tax increase in the waning days of McDonnell’s reign.  Republicans abide swimming pools and orchestra lifts while class sizes explode and schools become ridiculously overcrowded, with a steady flow of illegal aliens from Youth For Tomorrow exacerbating a situation that government officials won’t even acknowledge.  The county continues to buy fake awards from dubious entities for public relations purposes, often for the quality of financial reporting, transparency and budget preparation while ridiculous arithmetic errors riddle budget documents, “carryover budgets” are used to reward or punish political loyalty or lack thereof, and bond issue proceeds are diverted from what voters approved to other “priorities” with obvious political overtones.  County officials enjoy outrageously expensive festivities at exclusive golf clubs while tax bills rise by outrageous amounts.  Voters see their elected officials increasingly as predators rather than public servants, and they are pissed.

It’s no coincidence that the Chairman of the School Board decided not to run for re-election this year.  Chairman Milt was going to get smeared all over the railway, no matter what he would do.  He was hogtied by his record, and no amount of wriggling and pleading was going to get him untied.  The only surprise here is that he wasn’t joined by anyone else, but apparently others haven’t realized yet just how absolutely awful their political future looks.

All it takes to knock off any elected official of the establishment bent this year is a decent candidate willing to put in a reasonable effort.  Democrats who can plausibly articulate an intent to pursue responsible governance, rather than drone on with the usual progressive political mantras are going to have a big year, but those are few and far between.  The strongest candidates are going to be those who follow in the footsteps of Pete Candland and Jeanine Lawson, though.  Their brand isn’t at all tarnished, it is the model.  Just about every other brand is getting run over this year.

If you’re even thinking about running for office this year and are genuinely a conservative reformer, this is your year.  You can and will win, and I want to talk to you.



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4 Comments

  1. Anon said on 27 Dec 2014 at 8:08 pm:
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    Agree, “and they are pissed”.

  2. Anonymous said on 28 Dec 2014 at 6:38 pm:
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    You talk a big game now, but when election time comes rolling around you will be standing right behind your big spending RINO friends Martin Nohe, Glendell Hill, Maureen Caddigan and Corey Stewart. You aren’t fooling anyone.

  3. Greg L said on 28 Dec 2014 at 9:48 pm:
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    Gee, do you even bother to read posts here at all? Use the search box up top and put those names in. Other than Glen Hill, who I haven’t had much to say about in several years Ithink you’ll find an awful consistent stream of condemnation over the past few years.

  4. Anonymous said on 29 Dec 2014 at 1:39 am:
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    “Other than Glen Hill, who I haven’t had much to say about in several years”

    Well isn’t that a shocker? In 2012, Glen Hill’s office had a scandal that caused his chief deputy and administrative commander to retire/resign and not a peep from you. Were you looking out for your good buddy?

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