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The Wave Election of 2015

By Greg L | 30 October 2015 | Virginia Politics | 2 Comments

Are you ready for a wave election of historic proportions?  Tuesday is going to be an opportunity to not only thwart some of the liberal agenda that’s been crammed down our throats over the past year, but to remarkably reshape the balance of power at the state and local levels for the next several years.  These are the fruits largely not of anything that Republicans have done, but is entirely a reaction to Democrat policy overreaches.

As usual, national issues overlay what happens in state and local elections, and there’s plenty of anger and resentment brewing on that front.  The Obama administration’s race and class-based grievance rhetoric has given birth to a war on public safety officers, a war on small business, a war on Christianity, a war on Second Amendment rights and a war on success.  Plenty of people are feeling embattled these days, and their frustration is being demonstrated quite visibly in the Republican presidential primaries where non-establishment candidates who have the guts to forcibly fight back are gaining the lion’s share of support.  The grassroots mood is that their backs are against the wall and they’re angry as hell.

To address this, Governor McAuliffe amazingly decided to push gun control and some terribly tone-deaf transportation proposals that would turn two lanes of Interstate 66 into full-time toll/HOV-3 and reduce the number of open travel lanes available.  Then a Bloomberg-affiliated PAC decided to drop $1.5 million in gun control media buys into the 29th Senate District and NARAL and Planned Parenthood, already in the crosshairs after a series of damning videos showing how they profited from trafficking in body parts from aborted babies, dropped in a ton of money into contested House and Senate races.  I’ll borrow a phrase from an interview subject I had a little while back and say ‘this is about as dumb as dressing in red pajamas and slapping a bull in the butt’ as it’s an apt description of the utter political stupidity coming from the left this season.

I’m not sure it’s even possible to spend $1.5 million on TV in a week in a Senate district, at least in any sort of rational way.  I can put up about a thousand spots on cable in that district for about $10,000 and I’m not sure there’d even be that many spots available unless I was running them on channels that no one watches.  At some point you over-saturate the time slots so badly that people start getting angry at them because they’re running back-to-back.  It’s insane.

All sorts of conservatives that might have thought that Tuesday’s election wasn’t worth the trouble are making it their mission to get to the polls on November 3rd, and quite a few reliable Democrat voters are wondering whether it’s worth bothering to show up.  Folks over at the far left are very nervous about Tuesday, and rightfully so:

We’ll see how this plays out on Tuesday, but as a Democrat, I’m feeling kinda nervous right now… - Lowell at BlueVirginia

You know its a bad year for Democrats when smart people have predicted GOP majorities as large as 24-16 in the Senate and 70-30 in the House - Ben Tribbett

The left was quite jubilant when they got their “gay marriage” court decision and a whole bunch of other policy victories that pushed their agenda right into the faces of a lot of people that didn’t think politics mattered all that much and wouldn’t affect them no matter who won.  Now they’re feeling how awful the economy is, what a trainwreck ObamaCare has become, and feeling quite vulnerable as police officers get assassinated by politically-motivated anarchist thugs, politics doesn’t seem to be such of an inconsequential thing anymore.

Republicans in general will mostly benefit from this, but there’s quite a strong undercurrent against generic name-brand Republicans going on here who aren’t fighting against what voters are angry about, or are being complicit in the kinds of shenanigans that the grassroots are upset about.  In the general assembly races, being a Republican who is fighting against a Bloomberg and Planned Parenthood-funded leftist might be enough to pull out a victory, but in the local races sometimes the Republican brand is so badly trashed there’s as much anger against Republicans as there is directed against Democrats, and it’s the conservative Republican or independent that benefits from the current dynamic.  In Prince William County, it’s Republican “leadership” that delivered the most expensive school construction in Virginia history and paid the Superintendent ridiculously high compensation and benefits while test scores have lagged as class sizes remained at the highest levels in Virginia, so the R vs. D dynamic is irrelevant to voters who have been paying attention at that level.

The left is going to take it on the chin this year, and that’s a given.  The question is whether Republicans will suffer for their bad decisions as well, and they’re not making nearly as many mistakes right now as Democrats have been.   How durable is a voter’s memory these days?  We’re going to find out soon enough.

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  1. Ray Beverage said on 1 Nov 2015 at 11:03 am:
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    Greg, on the money and media slots - don’t forget the radio ads. I jump around about five different stations (to include WTOP), and they have been saturated too. From WINC-FM to the west, to the various DC area stations, all have been playing back-to-back with heavy frequency per hour. And your belief on cable it is playing on the broad range is most likely correct.

  2. Thomas said on 1 Nov 2015 at 11:40 am:
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    Greg, whom do you support for the Soil and Water Conservation Director of the Prince William District?

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